Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen is brewing off the coast of Cancun in Mexico.
At 100 a.m. CDT (0600 UTC), radar data from Belize indicated that the low pressure system was centered near latitude 18.4 north, longitude 87.1 west. Some strengthening is forecast during the next several days, with the depression expected to become a tropical storm later Sunday.
Early indications are that we see a tropical storm that moves north and eventually northeast through the Gulf and makes landfall near the Florida panhandle.
A hurricane center graphic showed the disturbance gaining storm-level winds of over 39 miles per hour late Sunday and maintaining those speeds as it potentially hits the Florida coast east of Pensacola on Wednesday.
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All of the forecasters cautioned that conditions could change quickly and urged residents across the Gulf Coast to stay abreast of the storm's progress. A cold front moving through the Brazos Valley mid-week should keep any tropical activity east of Texas and impacts felt here very minimal.
An extensive area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is expected to move into the western Caribbean Sea in coming days. A strike along the Gulf Coast could come as early as Tuesday night, but Wednesday is more likely, said Jeff Masters, co-founder of Weather Underground.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Leslie continues to churn in the mid-Atlantic - and even though it is no threat to land, it will impact the USA coast this weekend.
The National Weather Service forecasts 2 to 4 inches of rain in the Florida Keys Sunday and Monday from the outer bands.