There will be between 10 to 16 named storms and five to nine hurricanes that will blow through the Atlantic for the 2018 season, forecasters predicted Thursday. Between one and four major hurricanes, those at Category 3 or greater, are expected this year.
Thursday, it forecasted a 75-percent chance that the season will be near or above normal. Previous year was a very active season with 17 tropical storms, 10 hurricanes and 6 major hurricanes.
"The outlooks suggests that we will experience a near or above normal hurricane season this year", says NOAA Deputy Administrator Dr. Neil Jacobs.
Back last May, before Memorial Day weekend, the long-range forecasters from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center predicted an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season.
Hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.
US weather forecasters predict at least four MAJOR HURRICANES during 2018 season
Weeks later Hurricane Irma hit, killing a total of 134 people in its wake as it ripped through Florida, Puerto Rico, Cuba, and other a Caribbean islands with wind speeds of 134mph.
If the storm gains sustained winds of 39 miles per hour or more, it would be named Alberto, from the list of 2018 Atlantic tropical cyclone names.
"There's no strong climate signal saying it's going to be extremely active, like past year, or extremely weak".
El Nino, a climate cycle in the Pacific Ocean characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures, works to suppress the Atlantic hurricane season, explained Bell. In an average season, there are about 11 storms.
Officials warned all coastal residents not to wait to make evacuation plans or preparations for protecting their homes and businesses. A TIME examination of the past 15 years of NOAA's forecasts found that the agency's predictions of the number of significant storms, which are provided as high and low estimates, are usually correct or close to correct, with some major exceptions.
Although the season doesn't officially start until a week from Friday, the first tropical depression or tropical storm may form before that. "When you have a more active season, that's when you have more storms forming in the tropical Atlantic". There are six lists that rotate through the years, with names retired after particularly deadly storms.
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