IMD forecasts a normal monsoon in 2018

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India Meteorological Department (IMD) issues operational forecast for the southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall for the country as a whole in two stages.

This forecast comes with a model error of plus or minus 5%. This is the third consecutive year when the IMD predicted normal monsoon rains for the country.

Skymet said the monsoon this year could be 100 percent of the long period average (LPA) with a model error of plus and minus 5 percent. India receives 89 cm of rainfall during the four-month monsoon season, which is nearly 75 per cent of its annual rainfall.

A normal monsoon will not only aid agriculture growth but could have a positive impact on the overall rural economy crucial for the ruling BJP government as it faces critical state elections followed by the big National Polls in 2019.

The IMD, meanwhile, said it would be able to forecast a clearer picture of the Monsoon, which normally extends from June 1 to September 30, only in June.

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A good monsoon is good news for the Indian economy.

Assessment of onset of monsoon will be done on May 15.

A figure between 96 to 104 percent is considered normal monsson. The country receives some 70 per cent of its annual rainfall during the four-month Monsoon season.

The average rainfall over the past 50 years, or the long-period average (LPA), is 89cm.

According to the weatherman, below 90 per cent rainfall is considered deficient and at 95 per cent it is considered below normal.

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